Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.451863 0.574426 0.706461 0.857579 1.024203 1.200954 1.401322
2025-08-10 0.272937 0.434093 0.625717 0.861959 1.138329 1.445627 1.807881
2025-08-17 0.159968 0.322302 0.534421 0.812461 1.152322 1.542560 2.014255
2025-08-24 0.082787 0.231576 0.449937 0.755368 1.144832 1.605180 2.173728
2025-08-31 0.043233 0.178942 0.403346 0.735620 1.173924 1.703511 2.367909
2025-09-07 0.022772 0.148351 0.381517 0.743584 1.233928 1.836139 2.600245
2025-09-14 0.008496 0.117388 0.352175 0.736336 1.270857 1.937996 2.793770
2025-09-21 0.001116 0.087946 0.318038 0.717395 1.289015 2.014141 2.954326
2025-09-28 0.000099 0.082081 0.325411 0.759461 1.388497 2.191998 3.238493
2025-10-05 NaN 0.080004 0.339492 0.811513 1.501492 2.387021 3.543867
2025-10-12 NaN 0.074620 0.345502 0.850363 1.596060 2.558508 3.820377
2025-10-19 NaN 0.078709 0.372147 0.922170 1.736520 2.788928 4.169873
2025-10-26 NaN 0.074433 0.381294 0.968896 1.846590 2.986208 4.486046
2025-11-02 NaN 0.060747 0.366198 0.975716 1.901177 3.113178 4.716884
2025-11-09 NaN 0.037333 0.317534 0.922254 1.867402 3.123551 4.800822
2025-11-16 NaN 0.018866 0.268162 0.861302 1.818952 3.112058 4.855253
2025-11-23 NaN 0.010440 0.243109 0.840088 1.826127 3.171908 4.997645
2025-11-30 NaN 0.006810 0.234607 0.848640 1.877020 3.289572 5.213048
2025-12-07 NaN 0.003154 0.218555 0.840865 1.902355 3.372448 5.383837
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000643 0.197462 0.820543 1.907208 3.426892 5.517728
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000637 0.207889 0.865653 2.013474 3.619090 5.828469
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000881 0.223293 0.921364 2.136375 3.834078 6.168689
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000777 0.231952 0.962873 2.237239 4.019195 6.470699